As Japan’s construction firms are squeezed by the tightest labor market since the 1970s and a rapidly aging population, they are pouring investment into technology — and providing unexpected support to an economy reeling from the bitter U.S.-China trade war.
The industry sees artificial intelligence and robots — which can scurry around building sites day and night, preparing equipment and moving materials for the next day’s construction — as a way to future-proof and close the labor gap.
But a side effect is that one of the country’s least-productive sectors is bolstering capital expenditures even as the world’s third-largest economy flirts with recession amid a global growth slowdown.
Construction company Shimizu Corp., which spent about ¥3 billion ($27.7 million) on robots over three years, is a case in point.
Equipped with state-of-the-art AI, cameras and sensors, the machines handle everything from transporting building materials and welding steel to installing ceilings.
For now, Shimizu estimates the labor savings from the robots in its construction work to be 1.1 percent, far off the land ministry’s goal of a 20 percent productivity boost for the sector by the middle of next decade.
But the company hopes to eventually automate three-fourths of its work as it expands the range of tasks robots perform, said Masahiro Indo, general manager of its construction technology division.
“When it’s hot, workers need to take breaks and drink water. Robots don’t need that as they don’t get tired, so that’s good,” he said. “Once the robots become smarter, we are looking to increase the range of work.”
Construction work has blossomed under Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s stimulus program, known as Abenomics, and an infrastructure boom ahead of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.
The government is also spending heavily on disaster relief as the country recovers from a slew of typhoons and flooding.
Capital expenditures in the sector rose 7.7 percent in the April-June quarter — far above the 1.9 percent gain for all industries — after a 15.3 percent jump in the previous quarter, government data shows.
That has moderated the pain of a 6.9 percent fall in manufacturers’ spending.
Construction firms plan to boost research and development spending by 15.5 percent in the fiscal year ending in March 2020, faster than the previous year’s 13.8 percent gain and the 7.7 percent rise in the year before that.
It was the highest among all sectors, which together plan to increase such spending by just 3.3 percent, the Bank of Japan’s quarterly tankan survey for September showed.
Year-on-year, total capital expenditures rose for the 10th straight quarter in the April-June period, helping gross domestic product expand an annualized 1.3 percent.
“Construction projects need a long time to complete. That means once investment starts, the impact lasts for a long time,” said Hiroshi Miyazaki, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
“While the short-term boost could be small, construction investment tends to offer long-term support to the economy.”
The pain of a small labor pool is made worse by an aging population. People age 60 or older now make up about a fourth of the construction industry’s skilled workers, while those under 30 are just over one-tenth of the total, down from about a fifth in the late 1990s.
That means all companies are fighting for workers as the jobless rate hovers at more than a two-decade low of 2.2 percent and the number of job openings for every applicant is near its highest point in 45 years.
There were 5.1 million construction workers as of the end of August, a 27 percent decline from 20 years ago.
Battling such headwinds while enhancing productivity is crucial, particularly for huge infrastructure projects such as overhauling the area around one of the busiest train stations in Tokyo.
The renovation of the Tokyo Metro Ginza Line’s station in the shopping hub of Shibuya, handled by Tokyu Construction Co. and other firms, is complex and includes moving an entire train platform.
In the past, that involved stopping train operations on weekends and intense training for workers on the project.
Now a 3D simulation of the process is shared among the workers, allowing them to identify potential problems with construction in advance.
The computer model reduced personnel expenses for that part of the project by about 60 percent, said Fumihiro Ojima, group leader of the information technology project group in the company’s civil engineering division.
“We could do things in the simulation model that are impossible in reality, such as removing a building and looking at it” from another angle, he said.
But such changes also bring challenges, such as requiring older workers to adjust to new technology.
“Workers will need to improve their skills,” said Kentaro Arita, senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute. “But that’s a high hurdle, and a full-fledged shift could be stalled if that can’t be done.”
BY DANIEL LEUSSINK AND IZUMI NAKAGAWA, REUTERS